Which are America’s most crowded national parks? Less crowded national
parks? Can widely-publicized lists be trusted?
Based on my visits, I have a good idea, but you don’t have to
take my word for it. In my former career, I dealt with numbers quite a
bit, and here I pull out precise answers by careful use of the NPS data.
Counting Visits
The National Park Service makes available a lot of
visitor use
statistics. Of all of them, the list of national parks ranked by
the annual number of recreation visits is the one that has captured
the attention of media and bloggers. While it is only a measure of
popularity, it has been used to determine the
“top” (best) national parks, and more relevant to this article, the
more and less crowded national parks.
The numbers for the top and bottom 15 are
tabulated below (full data) with the twist that instead of using only last year’s
figures like everybody else, I have instead used the average over the last ten years (like
I did in Treasured Lands). I am more interested in statistics of lasting value as opposed to snapshots in time, and the average is more immune to variations caused
by exceptional events such as the summer of 2017 wildfires in Yosemite
National Park that caused visitation to drop from a 5,028,868 high in
2016 to 4,336,890 in 2017, while most other parks saw their visitation
continue to increase.
|
Visits |
Rank |
Great Smoky Mountains |
9,951,197 |
1 |
Grand Canyon |
4,894,769 |
2 |
Yosemite |
3,996,500 |
3 |
Yellowstone |
3,601,693 |
4 |
Rocky Mountain |
3,447,870 |
5 |
Zion |
3,233,651 |
6 |
Olympic |
3,137,907 |
7 |
Grand Teton |
2,824,532 |
8 |
Acadia |
2,605,536 |
9 |
Cuyahoga Valley |
2,359,884 |
10 |
Glacier |
2,320,217 |
11 |
Gateway Arch |
2,006,982 |
12 |
Joshua Tree |
1,728,215 |
13 |
Hawaii Volcanoes |
1,565,752 |
14 |
Bryce Canyon |
1,565,676 |
15 |
… |
|
|
Kenai Fjords |
291,727 |
45 |
Pinnacles |
229,210 |
46 |
Voyageurs |
227,996 |
47 |
Black Canyon of the Gunnison |
198,211 |
48 |
Guadalupe Mountains |
175,588 |
49 |
Congaree |
121,036 |
50 |
Great Basin |
105,880 |
51 |
Wrangell St Elias |
72,362 |
52 |
Dry Tortugas |
62,764 |
53 |
Katmai |
36,825 |
54 |
North Cascades |
24,164 |
55 |
Isle Royale |
17,972 |
56 |
American Samoa |
17,321 |
57 |
Lake Clark |
13,402 |
58 |
Kobuk Valley |
11,939 |
59 |
Gates of the Arctic |
11,038 |
60 |
Great Smoky Mountains National Parks consistently ranks number one in
visitation by a large margin, but is it really the most crowded park?
No matter which numbers you use, amongst the less crowded, you should
expect to find the Alaskan parks, which are remote, vast, and not
developped. In the
continental U.S., you should find the backcountry parks Isle Royale National Park, which has no road access and no roads, and North Cascades National Park, which except for a short unpaved road is explored by steep trails. Channel Islands National Park shares Isle Royale National Park’s characteristics, but the visitation numbers are very skewed by their inclusion of the visitor center, which is located mainland, whereas only one in ten of visitors make it to the islands themselves.
For some of the other national parks, the number of visits doesn’t
always correlate with my memories of how crowded the park was. To take
the example of two parks very similar in terrain and access – paved
roads only cover a small portion of each, Canyonlands National Park
receives 579,000 visits and Capitol Reef National Park receives
783,000 visits. Yet Capitol Reef National Park always felt less
crowded than Canyonlands National Park. Note also how parks such as
Dry Tortugas, and Great Basin are in the bottom ten, below some
Alaskan parks.
Counting Hours
The National Park Service offers other statistics than the number of
recreation visits, which is the default option. They are seldom mentioned, but for our purpose one of them is more useful:
the number of recreation hours. If two visitors spend respectively 1
hour and 10 hours in a park, you are 10 times more likely to run into
the second one. Visits for both are 1, but recreation hours counts
differentiate them. To continue with the previous example, Canyonlands
National Park receives 4.3 million recreation hours (average 0.83 day
per visit) while Capitol Reef National Park receives 1.3 million
recreation hours (average 0.18 day per visit), because the
configuration of the park is conductive of a quick drive to the end of
the short scenic road and back.
The average recreation hours of the last ten years for the top and
bottom 15 are tabulated in the two last columns, with the numbers for
visits in the first two columns for comparison in the table below.
|
visits |
visits rank |
hours |
hours rank |
Grand Canyon |
4,894,769 |
2 |
77,132,187 |
1 |
Yellowstone |
3,601,693 |
4 |
75,042,496 |
2 |
Great Smoky Mountains |
9,951,197 |
1 |
73,751,865 |
3 |
Yosemite |
3,996,500 |
3 |
69,060,263 |
4 |
Sequoia |
1,060,315 |
21 |
34,300,080 |
5 |
Glacier |
2,320,217 |
11 |
27,089,324 |
6 |
Rocky Mountain |
3,447,870 |
5 |
23,853,991 |
7 |
Zion |
3,233,651 |
6 |
22,409,146 |
8 |
Grand Teton |
2,824,532 |
8 |
19,163,408 |
9 |
Kings Canyon |
577,854 |
29 |
18,852,981 |
10 |
Olympic |
3,137,907 |
7 |
15,067,414 |
11 |
Acadia |
2,605,536 |
9 |
14,506,845 |
12 |
Mount Rainier |
1,201,686 |
18 |
14,397,328 |
13 |
Joshua Tree |
1,728,215 |
13 |
12,475,720 |
14 |
Bryce Canyon |
1,565,676 |
15 |
10,266,170 |
15 |
… |
|
|
|
|
Capitol Reef |
783,314 |
25 |
1,275,862 |
45 |
Black Canyon of the Gunnison |
198,211 |
48 |
1,168,051 |
46 |
Great Basin |
105,880 |
51 |
1,161,639 |
47 |
Isle Royale |
17,972 |
56 |
1,151,455 |
48 |
Saguaro |
721,678 |
26 |
1,034,186 |
49 |
Pinnacles |
229,210 |
46 |
912,448 |
50 |
Kenai Fjords |
291,727 |
45 |
903,085 |
51 |
Dry Tortugas |
62,764 |
53 |
733,466 |
52 |
Congaree |
121,036 |
50 |
469,065 |
53 |
North Cascades |
24,164 |
55 |
468,323 |
54 |
Guadalupe Mountains |
175,588 |
49 |
454,766 |
55 |
Katmai |
36,825 |
54 |
284,277 |
56 |
Gates of the Arctic |
11,038 |
60 |
168,313 |
57 |
Lake Clark |
13,402 |
58 |
106,848 |
58 |
American Samoa |
17,321 |
57 |
34,642 |
59 |
Kobuk Valley |
11,939 |
59 |
34,472 |
60 |
This is a move in the right direction, but note that Gateway Arch,
which feels crowded like a city park, because it is one, is not even
in the top 15, whereas the Alaskan and backcountry parks are still not
consistently at the bottom. Wondering why despite
comparable number of visits, people spend so much more time in Gates
of the Arctic National Park than in Kobuk Valley National Park? Quite a few treat the former as the ultimate backpacking
destination it is, while most visitors to the
latter
just fly to the dunes for a quick stroll.
The Crowd Factor: Hours per square mile
While recreation hours are a better indicator of crowds than
recreation visits, they don’t take into account the size of the park,
which is crucial because everything else being equal, if people are
spread into a larger area, the place is less crowded. To continue in
the Moab area, Arches National Park receives 4.6 million recreation
hours, about the same as the 4.3 million of Canyonlands, yet everybody
who has been to both will agree that Arches is more crowded. This is
simply because Arches National Park streches 120 square miles, whereas
Canyonlands National Park stretches 527 square miles, a surface area
more than 4 times larger that dilutes the crowds.
As a “crowd factor”, I propose to use the ratio of the number of
recreation hours divided by the park’s surface area. In addition, if
we normalize that number by dividing it by 365 (number of days of the
year) and by 12 (number of hours in a day as accounted by the NPS), we
get a number that roughly indicates how many people one is going to
find on a square mile of park at any hour. The resulting data is
below, with the crowd factor in the last two columns:
|
Area |
Visits |
Hours |
Hours Rank |
Crowd Factor |
Crowd Rank |
Gateway Arch |
0.14 |
2,006,982 |
8,027,927 |
19 |
13100 |
1 |
Hot Springs |
9 |
1,380,780 |
2,921,406 |
33 |
74 |
2 |
Acadia |
74 |
2,605,536 |
14,506,845 |
12 |
45 |
3 |
Bryce Canyon |
56 |
1,565,676 |
10,266,170 |
15 |
42 |
4 |
Cuyahoga Valley |
51 |
2,359,884 |
6,879,998 |
22 |
31 |
5 |
Virgin Islands |
23 |
432,377 |
2,659,118 |
36 |
26 |
6 |
Zion |
229 |
3,233,651 |
22,409,146 |
8 |
22 |
7 |
Great Smoky Mountains |
815 |
9,951,197 |
73,751,865 |
3 |
21 |
8 |
Haleakala |
45 |
1,097,150 |
2,767,447 |
35 |
14 |
9 |
Yosemite |
1,189 |
3,996,500 |
69,060,263 |
4 |
13 |
10 |
Rocky Mountain |
415 |
3,447,870 |
23,853,991 |
7 |
13 |
11 |
Sequoia |
631 |
1,060,315 |
34,300,080 |
5 |
12 |
12 |
Mesa Verde |
81 |
542,916 |
3,838,543 |
28 |
11 |
13 |
Grand Canyon |
1,902 |
4,894,769 |
77,132,187 |
1 |
9.3 |
14 |
Grand Teton |
484 |
2,824,532 |
19,163,408 |
9 |
9 |
15 |
… |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Voyageurs |
341 |
227,996 |
1,897,482 |
38 |
1.3 |
45 |
Capitol Reef |
284 |
783,314 |
1,275,862 |
45 |
1 |
46 |
Guadalupe Mountains |
135 |
175,588 |
454,766 |
55 |
0.77 |
47 |
American Samoa |
14 |
17,321 |
34,642 |
59 |
0.56 |
48 |
Everglades |
2,357 |
989,970 |
3,642,777 |
29 |
0.35 |
49 |
Death Valley |
5,269 |
1,041,596 |
7,861,951 |
20 |
0.34 |
50 |
Isle Royale |
893 |
17,972 |
1,151,455 |
48 |
0.29 |
51 |
Glacier Bay |
5,039 |
480,802 |
6,175,456 |
23 |
0.28 |
52 |
Denali |
7,408 |
481,744 |
6,977,855 |
21 |
0.22 |
53 |
Kenai Fjords |
1,047 |
291,727 |
903,085 |
51 |
0.2 |
54 |
North Cascades |
789 |
24,164 |
468,323 |
54 |
0.14 |
55 |
Wrangell St Elias |
13,005 |
72,362 |
3,328,672 |
31 |
0.06 |
56 |
Katmai |
5,741 |
36,825 |
284,277 |
56 |
0.01 |
57 |
Lake Clark |
4,093 |
13,402 |
106,848 |
58 |
0.006 |
58 |
Gates of the Arctic |
11,756 |
11,038 |
168,313 |
57 |
0.003 |
59 |
Kobuk Valley |
2,735 |
11,939 |
34472 |
60 |
0.003 |
60 |
Using the crowd factor defined above produces drastic changes in
rank. It is now clear that Gateway
Arch and Hot Springs, by virtue of their tiny size and sizeable
visitation are the most crowded parks, the former one by a whopping
margin. The small Acadia, Bryce Canyon, Cuyahoga Valley, and Virgin
Islands come next, and this is consistent with my experience. Amongst
the sizeable parks (more than 100 square miles), Zion is the most
crowded, while Yosemite is the most crowded of the large parks (more
than 1,000 square miles). The Alaskan and backcountry parks are now
all at the bottom, and the list confirms the opportunities for
solitude at Death Valley. There is quite a bit to be learned from the
NPS statistics, and this post has given you an idea of what can be done
with their considered use. It has focused on the top and bottom 15, but
the full data can be found on my
parks data resource. Do you have any suggestions to improve this methodology?